Cane-alytics’ Canes Holiday Report Card: The Defense

by Canealytics •  @Cane_alytics •  Dec 21, 2015  •  0 comments

Since the short NHL Christmas break is fast approaching I thought it would be fun to check out the Canes roster and dole out grades based on how our guys are doing in terms of hockey's analytical metrics. Grades are weighted more on the analytical side of things, but not entirely so, and the data used come from war-on-ice.com and puckalytics.com.First we'll look at the defense and then we'll hit up the goalies and forwards after Christmas. For confusion about acronyms check out glossaries here and here.The Defense - (All data at Even Strength)#5 - Noah HanifinNoah's intelligence, poise with the puck, and hockey sense show more and more as the season goes on. The Power Play just flat out looks better since he was put on it, and now he's pretty much quarterbacking it.Notable Stats:53.7% CF  - 9th on Canes 5.23 Corsi For Relative to Teammates / 60 mins (CF60 RelTM) - 4th on CanesWhen Noah is on the ice we tend to generate more than when he isn't.2.56 Goals For / 60 (GF/60) - 2nd on Canes 2.69 Goal Against / 60 (GA/60) - 6th on Canes 59.48 Corsi For / 60 (CF/60) - 6th on Canes 51.27 Corsi Against / 60 (CA/60) - 14th on CanesNoah is high event. Goals and Corsis happen when he's on the ice.13.21 High Danger Scoring Chances For / 60 (HSCF/60) - First on the Canes +15 High Danger Scoring Chances +/-  | 6th on CanesThe first one is pretty spiffy and a good signal that his time on the Power Play is well spent. He helps his team generate up close chances at a faster rate than any other Cane.He's also only 18.Cane-alytics Grade: A-

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The Silver Lining of 2015 for Carolina Hurricanes Fans

by Derek Roessler •  Dec 15, 2015  •  3 comments

Ed. note: The following is a guest post from Canes fan (and man who enjoys quality beverages) Will Luper.The Carolina Hurricanes haven’t seen hockey go past the beginning of April since 2009. While advanced stats point to the fact that the Hurricanes should be pretty decent, there they sit near the bottom of the standings year in and year out. Eric Staal still somehow not only wears the “C”, but still is on the roster of the Hurricanes and not on some playoff-bound team while Ron Francis holds a third first-round pick in this coming year’s draft. But I digress.Let’s turn those frowns upside down Canes fans. There are some good things to come out of 2015, and while the Jim Rutherford-led Penguins beginning to choke despite an embarrassment of riches is a pretty wonderful thing to watch, let’s focus on the goodness happening down on Edwards Mill in Raleigh.Noah FREAKIN' HanifinSo while everyone watched the Edmonton Oilers jump up and draft Connor Mc-Hockey-Savior (which basically proved that the NHL draft lottery isn’t rigged), Caniacs started arguing over whether Mitch Marner or Dylan Strome, because lawdy lawdy, Boston College prospect Noah Hanifin was going to go third and there was no way we’d get to have a prospective franchise defenseman fall all the way to number five. But lo and behold, the Coyotes took Strome, Marner became a Leaf, and when GMRF got up to the podium, there was #5 available for the taking. (Sidenote, does anyone know if that’s why Hanifin’s number is number five? Because he was the fifth pick? More to come.)

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Does Our Corsi Matter?

by Canealytics •  @Cane_alytics •  Dec 7, 2015  •  0 comments

As many of you know, I frequently tweet updates on the Canes’ possession stats, and all season long it’s led it some pretty other-worldly numbers. The Canes possess the puck VERY well, but they’re not winning the outrageous possession games either. Or, when they do win, they've actually been out-attempted (LA & MTL wins).So does it matter? My focus is fancy stats and I tend to feel like I’m trolling the community I love every time I mention that one of our amazing young d-men are +15 even strength Corsi when the team is down 1-3 in the game.Should I just start blogging articles of Noah Hanifin photoshopped with cute puppies and kittens instead of mentioning he didn’t give up a shot attempt against for more than half a game against Buffalo?  Should I just change my name to plus/minus-alytics and throw in the towel?  Does our spectacular Corsi matter? I think the answer depends on when you’re looking. Now? Nope. Tomorrow? Hopefully.Admit it. You'd happily read a Hanifin/puppy blog.

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Spoiler Alert: This Team Can’t Shoot, at Least #ForNow

by Derek Roessler •  Dec 3, 2015  •  1 comment

Hopefully all of you were sitting down when you saw that headline. I wouldn't want to have someone fainting on my conscience (yes, I have one). After 24 games in the books and only 20 points to show for them, the Carolina Hurricanes' lack of talent, particularly at forward, is as glaring as many thought/feared prior to the season.As of December 2, only Philadelphia has scored less goals, only Calgary has a lower SRS (a measure of goal differential and strength of schedule), and only the Oilers (of course) have less points in the standings. But hey, the Canes are tops in Corsi. That's good!

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Kazoo Night, or How Do These Things Happen?

by Tom Edwards •  @MrWorkrate •  Nov 23, 2015  •  7 comments

Losing streaks make you do odd things. Anyone here at the 328 World Headquarters will tell you that. Going into the Toronto game last Friday, our beloved Canes were 1-4-2 for the month of November and in the middle of a five-game homestand that had begun with two overtime losses in games where the Canes held a 2-0 lead and a 4-1 loss to a struggling Anaheim Ducks team that barely moved the needle on the Canes Give-A-Fuck-O-Meter.Enough was enough, and soon after the Anaheim game, the 328 crew dubbed the Toronto game an "Alternate Jersey Night". Yes, the Canes would be playing in their black jerseys - their "alternates", but our "alternate jerseys" were non-Canes jerseys. We had plenty for varying reasons, so the wardrobe for the game was already set. That part was planned; what would follow wasn't.

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Rock the Boat. Please, Rock this Boat.

by Derek Roessler •  Nov 16, 2015  •  3 comments

With 17 games in the rearview mirror, we've seen many preseason predictions come true for the Hurricanes. If you read many of those predictions, you know that's not necessarily a good thing. Now that American Thanksgiving ("Thursday" to our Canadian friends) is only 10 days away, it's time for changes to be made or our beloved hockey team will be on the hitting the golf course earlier than they'd like... again.I'm the captain of the Carolina Hurricanes. Isn't there something you can do?Just about everyone knew that the Canes weren't going to be an offensive force. That's not exactly a bold statement, as this organization isn't flush with top-end talent at forward. Tallying only 34 goals in 17 games, Carolina is ahead of only Philly (who beat them on Saturday), and Anaheim (who's getting their act together) in the "goals for" category.

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Hey, that Liles. He’s Pretty Alright. A Statistical Spotlight on JML.

by Canealytics •  @Cane_alytics •  Nov 9, 2015  •  0 comments

I’ve always liked defensemen. My first favorite player as a kid was Rangers d-man, Jeff Beukeboom. Partly, let’s be honest, because of the name, but also because he was a hulking bruiser that routinely destroyed players with his bulk. Since then, other favorites have come and gone: Curtis Leschyshyn, Mattias Nordstrom, Janne Niinimaa, Glen Wesley (of course), and Big Time Timmy Tim Gleason just to name a few. The unsung hero aspect of the defensive defenseman, quietly doing his job while the flashier guys got all the press, just appealed to me. It’s a chop wood, carry water kind of thing, I guess. Do the work, quietly and diligently, day-in and day-out, and success will follow.More recently, I loved me some Andrej “Reggie” Sekera. Post-Whalers, he was the first player autograph I'd gotten, and it was huge moment getting to ask him how he scored that insane puck-carrying goal during a rout against us in Anaheim. He simply smiled shyly and said “I don’t know”. I occasionally craft homemade Rej-wiches and quietly mourn the loss our oddly, kind-of-unexpectedly goofy Slovakian-who’s-fond-of-pink-shorts workhorse defensemen.

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The Hometown May Change, but the Hometown Team Remains the Same.

by Canealytics •  @Cane_alytics •  Oct 27, 2015  •  0 comments

This one has been turning over and over in my head quite a bit lately, and I thought it was a good time to write, not about stats, but about my lifelong relationship with this franchise that I love so dearly. It’s a good time because I wanted, okay needed, to take a step back from the frustration that comes from being in year two of a rebuild on top of a long stretch of playoff misses, and also because a close friend of mine, who I haven’t seen in over a decade, is coming to visit me on Halloween and she’s a huge reason I love this team as much as I do.The Carolina/Hartford franchise has been my hometown team since I moved to Connecticut from the UK when I was 10 months old, except for the successful chunk of time from 1998 to 2007. I started getting into hockey when I was in middle school and went to my first Hartford Whalers game, sitting in the nosebleeds, watching them play the Quebec Nordiques.There was something blue-collar and magical about the Hartford Civic Center back then. The team, as always, was mediocre, and attendance in the post-Ron Francis Whaler era was waning. I think it took going to other arenas as an adult to realize how weird it was that I had to walk through a sad little mall to get to all the hockey stuff. It felt normal to me back then. The stores weren’t normal stores you’d see in other strip malls, but odd little clothing boutiques and one-off places that I remember having no interest in at all as a teenage, that is, aside from the magnificent team store, which was everything I'd ever wanted in any kind of retail establishment. But, the dreary walks through the long hallway of stores all added to the relatable feel of the franchise, which to me, remains today. Except now, instead of a mall, we walk through camps of tailgating Caniacs, and that Southern twist is a massive improvement.The man who scored the last Whaler goal and the first Hurricanes goal, Kevin Dineen.

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Replacing the Wiz – What Veterans Are Left?

by Tom Edwards •  @MrWorkrate •  Oct 12, 2015  •  0 comments

47 seconds. That's it. Forty-seven seconds is all Carolina Hurricanes fans got to see of James Wisniewski during regular season hockey. And, barring a playoff run or a Wolverine-like ACL regeneration[pause for comment about the likelihood of each]That's all we'll see of Wiz this season, which sucks for him and us. Wisniewski looked to be one of the more positive characters in the locker room, and looked towards his Carolina tenure as an opportunity to bounce back from a difficult season. For us as fans, we looked to Wiz as solidifying our top four on the blueline, allowing Noah Hanifin to ease into his first NHL season, and helping to jumpstart a Canes scoring attack that redefines the word "attack" at times.But we move on, as we have to, because crying isn't going to bring him back, even if our tears did smell like dog food.

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Poorly Researched Article Has Unintended Effects. What It’s Based on May Shock You!

by Tom Edwards •  @MrWorkrate •  Oct 7, 2015  •  1 comment

I'm a blogger, and by no means a journalist. I don't have press credentials that give me access toa table for my laptop a power outlet for previously mentioned laptop possibly free/possibly not free food (your mileage may vary) half-naked sporting people (usually) speaking in clichesand most importantlyan invite to the Canes Media Cupand that's cool. As such, we write at whatever quality we do, and it is what it is. If you like it, great. If it's not up to your standards, well, at least you didn't pay anything to read this*.*paywall coming in 2016 When you're reading a fan blog, the quality of writing can be anywhere in the spectrum. When you write for an actual publication, with editors and offices and printed words on paper and $90 subscriptions, then you expect the quality of writing to have some sort of value. After all, if you're charging people to read your content, you're going to want something well written in return**.**never mind that earlier paywall thingWhich brings me to the Triangle Business Journal. The Triangle Business Journal (TBJ from now on, because I'm lazy) is owned by American City Business Journals, which owns numerous publications across the United States, many of which fall under "The Business Journals" header, of which the TBJ is a part of. These "Business Journals" focus on a city's local business news of interest, giving Joe Businessman access to business news more expansive than the local newspaper's business section, but more focused on his /her area than say the Wall Street Journal. I'm assuming it's good as covering local business news in various industries - I'm not Richard Gilmore, reading the various business publications in my study as I wait for dinner to be prepared.It really should stay away from sports though, or at least the Carolina Hurricanes.

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