Puck Talk

Cane-alytics’ Canes Holiday Report Card: The Defense

by Canealytics •  @Cane_alytics •  Dec 21, 2015  •  0 comments

Since the short NHL Christmas break is fast approaching I thought it would be fun to check out the Canes roster and dole out grades based on how our guys are doing in terms of hockey's analytical metrics. Grades are weighted more on the analytical side of things, but not entirely so, and the data used come from war-on-ice.com and puckalytics.com.First we'll look at the defense and then we'll hit up the goalies and forwards after Christmas. For confusion about acronyms check out glossaries here and here.The Defense - (All data at Even Strength)#5 - Noah HanifinNoah's intelligence, poise with the puck, and hockey sense show more and more as the season goes on. The Power Play just flat out looks better since he was put on it, and now he's pretty much quarterbacking it.Notable Stats:53.7% CF  - 9th on Canes 5.23 Corsi For Relative to Teammates / 60 mins (CF60 RelTM) - 4th on CanesWhen Noah is on the ice we tend to generate more than when he isn't.2.56 Goals For / 60 (GF/60) - 2nd on Canes 2.69 Goal Against / 60 (GA/60) - 6th on Canes 59.48 Corsi For / 60 (CF/60) - 6th on Canes 51.27 Corsi Against / 60 (CA/60) - 14th on CanesNoah is high event. Goals and Corsis happen when he's on the ice.13.21 High Danger Scoring Chances For / 60 (HSCF/60) - First on the Canes +15 High Danger Scoring Chances +/-  | 6th on CanesThe first one is pretty spiffy and a good signal that his time on the Power Play is well spent. He helps his team generate up close chances at a faster rate than any other Cane.He's also only 18.Cane-alytics Grade: A-

Read More

The Silver Lining of 2015 for Carolina Hurricanes Fans

by Derek Roessler •  @droessl •  Dec 15, 2015  •  3 comments

Ed. note: The following is a guest post from Canes fan (and man who enjoys quality beverages) Will Luper.The Carolina Hurricanes haven’t seen hockey go past the beginning of April since 2009. While advanced stats point to the fact that the Hurricanes should be pretty decent, there they sit near the bottom of the standings year in and year out. Eric Staal still somehow not only wears the “C”, but still is on the roster of the Hurricanes and not on some playoff-bound team while Ron Francis holds a third first-round pick in this coming year’s draft. But I digress.Let’s turn those frowns upside down Canes fans. There are some good things to come out of 2015, and while the Jim Rutherford-led Penguins beginning to choke despite an embarrassment of riches is a pretty wonderful thing to watch, let’s focus on the goodness happening down on Edwards Mill in Raleigh.Noah FREAKIN' HanifinSo while everyone watched the Edmonton Oilers jump up and draft Connor Mc-Hockey-Savior (which basically proved that the NHL draft lottery isn’t rigged), Caniacs started arguing over whether Mitch Marner or Dylan Strome, because lawdy lawdy, Boston College prospect Noah Hanifin was going to go third and there was no way we’d get to have a prospective franchise defenseman fall all the way to number five. But lo and behold, the Coyotes took Strome, Marner became a Leaf, and when GMRF got up to the podium, there was #5 available for the taking. (Sidenote, does anyone know if that’s why Hanifin’s number is number five? Because he was the fifth pick? More to come.)

Read More

Does Our Corsi Matter?

by Canealytics •  @Cane_alytics •  Dec 7, 2015  •  0 comments

As many of you know, I frequently tweet updates on the Canes’ possession stats, and all season long it’s led it some pretty other-worldly numbers. The Canes possess the puck VERY well, but they’re not winning the outrageous possession games either. Or, when they do win, they've actually been out-attempted (LA & MTL wins).So does it matter? My focus is fancy stats and I tend to feel like I’m trolling the community I love every time I mention that one of our amazing young d-men are +15 even strength Corsi when the team is down 1-3 in the game.Should I just start blogging articles of Noah Hanifin photoshopped with cute puppies and kittens instead of mentioning he didn’t give up a shot attempt against for more than half a game against Buffalo?  Should I just change my name to plus/minus-alytics and throw in the towel?  Does our spectacular Corsi matter? I think the answer depends on when you’re looking. Now? Nope. Tomorrow? Hopefully.Admit it. You'd happily read a Hanifin/puppy blog.

Read More

Spoiler Alert: This Team Can’t Shoot, at Least #ForNow

by Derek Roessler •  @droessl •  Dec 3, 2015  •  1 comment

Hopefully all of you were sitting down when you saw that headline. I wouldn't want to have someone fainting on my conscience (yes, I have one). After 24 games in the books and only 20 points to show for them, the Carolina Hurricanes' lack of talent, particularly at forward, is as glaring as many thought/feared prior to the season.As of December 2, only Philadelphia has scored less goals, only Calgary has a lower SRS (a measure of goal differential and strength of schedule), and only the Oilers (of course) have less points in the standings. But hey, the Canes are tops in Corsi. That's good!

Read More

Kazoo Night, or How Do These Things Happen?

by Tom Edwards •  @MrWorkrate •  Nov 23, 2015  •  7 comments

Losing streaks make you do odd things. Anyone here at the 328 World Headquarters will tell you that. Going into the Toronto game last Friday, our beloved Canes were 1-4-2 for the month of November and in the middle of a five-game homestand that had begun with two overtime losses in games where the Canes held a 2-0 lead and a 4-1 loss to a struggling Anaheim Ducks team that barely moved the needle on the Canes Give-A-Fuck-O-Meter.Enough was enough, and soon after the Anaheim game, the 328 crew dubbed the Toronto game an "Alternate Jersey Night". Yes, the Canes would be playing in their black jerseys - their "alternates", but our "alternate jerseys" were non-Canes jerseys. We had plenty for varying reasons, so the wardrobe for the game was already set. That part was planned; what would follow wasn't.

Read More

Rock the Boat. Please, Rock this Boat.

by Derek Roessler •  @droessl •  Nov 16, 2015  •  3 comments

With 17 games in the rearview mirror, we've seen many preseason predictions come true for the Hurricanes. If you read many of those predictions, you know that's not necessarily a good thing. Now that American Thanksgiving ("Thursday" to our Canadian friends) is only 10 days away, it's time for changes to be made or our beloved hockey team will be on the hitting the golf course earlier than they'd like... again.I'm the captain of the Carolina Hurricanes. Isn't there something you can do?Just about everyone knew that the Canes weren't going to be an offensive force. That's not exactly a bold statement, as this organization isn't flush with top-end talent at forward. Tallying only 34 goals in 17 games, Carolina is ahead of only Philly (who beat them on Saturday), and Anaheim (who's getting their act together) in the "goals for" category.

Read More

JOIN the Redvolution: A Short Story

by Tom Edwards •  @MrWorkrate •  Nov 11, 2015  •  3 comments

Here’s the Section 328 Canes Redvolution TV Spot you won’t see – but should. [GAME NIGHT. Shot of the SECTION 328 CREW. Many are standing with their arms in the air. The Dragnet Theme plays.] SECTION 328 (collectively shouting) CHEATERS! NEVER! WIN! [As the CREW…

Read More

Hey, that Liles. He’s Pretty Alright. A Statistical Spotlight on JML.

by Canealytics •  @Cane_alytics •  Nov 9, 2015  •  0 comments

I’ve always liked defensemen. My first favorite player as a kid was Rangers d-man, Jeff Beukeboom. Partly, let’s be honest, because of the name, but also because he was a hulking bruiser that routinely destroyed players with his bulk. Since then, other favorites have come and gone: Curtis Leschyshyn, Mattias Nordstrom, Janne Niinimaa, Glen Wesley (of course), and Big Time Timmy Tim Gleason just to name a few. The unsung hero aspect of the defensive defenseman, quietly doing his job while the flashier guys got all the press, just appealed to me. It’s a chop wood, carry water kind of thing, I guess. Do the work, quietly and diligently, day-in and day-out, and success will follow.More recently, I loved me some Andrej “Reggie” Sekera. Post-Whalers, he was the first player autograph I'd gotten, and it was huge moment getting to ask him how he scored that insane puck-carrying goal during a rout against us in Anaheim. He simply smiled shyly and said “I don’t know”. I occasionally craft homemade Rej-wiches and quietly mourn the loss our oddly, kind-of-unexpectedly goofy Slovakian-who’s-fond-of-pink-shorts workhorse defensemen.

Read More

Workrate Decodes the CBA: Injured Players and Roster Moves

by Tom Edwards •  @MrWorkrate •  Nov 5, 2015  •  2 comments

[The rules of building and maintaining an NHL roster are complex and often difficult to pinpoint. Many of them are detailed in the NHL/NHLPA Collective Bargaining Agreement, a 517-page pile of legalese that details everything from the requirement that veterans don’t have to have a hotel roommate on road trips (Article 16.9) to ensuring that every player has the option of receiving his paycheck via direct deposit (Article 31.6(c)). Since I’m a sick bastard, I printed the entire thing out and I’ve read way too much of it in an effort to better understand the finer nuances of running a professional hockey team and the decisions and considerations that need to be made during the course of a season. Basically, I’m not a lawyer, but I play one for Section 328. If you’ve got any questions you’d like to see addressed in a future edition of “Workrate Decodes The CBA”, let me know in the comments or find me on Twitter at @MrWorkrate]The recent Connor McDavid injury made many hockey fans and writers collectively lose their ship (ship? I guess we're a family blog.) and make great exaggerations as to what the Oilers needed to do, with the term "Long Term Injured Reserve" being thrown around. Hell, SB Nation's NHL Twitter account announced that McDavid was officially on LTIR despite no announcement being made by the team or that it was only 30 minutes after the end of the game McDavid got injured in. Relax everybody - you can't catch broken collarbone*.[*or whatever actually happened to him - cripes, I can't pretend to be a lawyer AND a doctor at the same time.]VICTORY! #Oilers beat Philly 4-2! #PHIvsEDM pic.twitter.com/kisxMS5N78 — Edmonton Oilers (@EdmontonOilers) November 4, 2015 The Oilers have officially placed Connor McDavid on long-term injured reserve. https://t.co/6YZr0Ialom pic.twitter.com/xG2tHWEPO1 — SB Nation NHL (@SBNationNHL) November 4, 2015 So on today's Workrate Decodes the CBA, we're going to look at the rules regarding injuries, rosters, and how NHL GMs have to navigate them.

Read More