Puck Talk

Looking at the Lines

by Canealytics •  @Cane_alytics •  Jan 11, 2016  •  1 comment

Through December the Carolina Hurricanes started to score, and then they started to string some wins together, and no, the world didn't end in a fiery apocalypse of wrongness. The Canes went into Pittsburgh and won, they went into Chicago and beat the defending champions, and then, on New Year's Eve, they beat the best team in the league (at that time): Washington. Fans started to see that oft spoke of bright future up close, and had nice warm feels about their team that they might not have had in a while. Hell, even Eric looked like he was having fun and giving a damn.It's no coincidence that this past December of Canes hockey had this season's longest period of stability among the forward lines. And if it weren't for this weekend's games against the lowly Blue Jackets, January looked like it was off to a typical Canes start with Phil Di Giuseppe's injury throwing a wrench into our newly found stability, and low scoring losses quickly followed. The speed of Di Giuseppe's recovery could be oddly vital to Canes' dreary playoff hopes, and if he can't get back to games soon will Bill Peters continue to fill round holes with Chris Terry shaped plugs?I thought that instead of grading the forwards individually for their midseason performances it would be more interesting to look at their performances together as lines. The stable, "Huh-the-Canes-might-actually-be-decent?" lines. The lines that were working, leading to wins, and that made Bill Peters' Line-o-matic stop trying to saddle our actually talented playmakers with not-so-talented ones. The lines that made Cane-alytics not want to drown his sorrows with the hardest of hard liquors EVERY FREAKIN- well you get the point.

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2015 Top 10 Posts: What You Clicked On

by Tom Edwards •  @MrWorkrate •  Dec 29, 2015  •  0 comments

By law (I'm pretty sure it's the 20th Amendment of the Constitution), every form of media - both social and traditional - must have a sort of "Top Whatever" list released between Christmas and New Year's Day. Instead of using some complicated method of using weighted factors to determine the proper value of all of the posts made this year (I'll let @Cane_alytics invent some statistic for that), I'll just pick the top 10 posts you people actually clicked on for whatever reason, whether it be good or bad.#10 - HORRIBLE CANES GOAL SONG IDEAS- THE BRACKET (Derek)On an earlier edition of the Section 328 Podcast (subscribe, won't you?) Chris Greenly, head of CanesVision, let it slip that the team was looking into replacing the Canes goal song, which had been Blur's Song 2 followed by a radio morning show producer jumping on his sound board and pressing every button at the same time. While at the time we didn't know what the replacement song would be (it turned out to be Avicii's "The Nights"), we knew what it shouldn't be, but we wanted your feedback. From Britney Spears' "Oops!...I Did It Again" to that Sarah McLachlan song that makes you think of abused puppies, there were some great entries, but it came down to Wagon Wheel (pretty much the "Troll Derek" vote) and Eric Clapton's "Tears In Heaven", a song written about the death of a four-year-old. Clapton won out, because you never want your goal song to make you cry every time you hear it.

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Cane-alytics’ Canes Holiday Report Card: The Defense

by Canealytics •  @Cane_alytics •  Dec 21, 2015  •  0 comments

Since the short NHL Christmas break is fast approaching I thought it would be fun to check out the Canes roster and dole out grades based on how our guys are doing in terms of hockey's analytical metrics. Grades are weighted more on the analytical side of things, but not entirely so, and the data used come from war-on-ice.com and puckalytics.com.First we'll look at the defense and then we'll hit up the goalies and forwards after Christmas. For confusion about acronyms check out glossaries here and here.The Defense - (All data at Even Strength)#5 - Noah HanifinNoah's intelligence, poise with the puck, and hockey sense show more and more as the season goes on. The Power Play just flat out looks better since he was put on it, and now he's pretty much quarterbacking it.Notable Stats:53.7% CF  - 9th on Canes 5.23 Corsi For Relative to Teammates / 60 mins (CF60 RelTM) - 4th on CanesWhen Noah is on the ice we tend to generate more than when he isn't.2.56 Goals For / 60 (GF/60) - 2nd on Canes 2.69 Goal Against / 60 (GA/60) - 6th on Canes 59.48 Corsi For / 60 (CF/60) - 6th on Canes 51.27 Corsi Against / 60 (CA/60) - 14th on CanesNoah is high event. Goals and Corsis happen when he's on the ice.13.21 High Danger Scoring Chances For / 60 (HSCF/60) - First on the Canes +15 High Danger Scoring Chances +/-  | 6th on CanesThe first one is pretty spiffy and a good signal that his time on the Power Play is well spent. He helps his team generate up close chances at a faster rate than any other Cane.He's also only 18.Cane-alytics Grade: A-

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The Silver Lining of 2015 for Carolina Hurricanes Fans

by Derek Roessler •  @droessl •  Dec 15, 2015  •  3 comments

Ed. note: The following is a guest post from Canes fan (and man who enjoys quality beverages) Will Luper.The Carolina Hurricanes haven’t seen hockey go past the beginning of April since 2009. While advanced stats point to the fact that the Hurricanes should be pretty decent, there they sit near the bottom of the standings year in and year out. Eric Staal still somehow not only wears the “C”, but still is on the roster of the Hurricanes and not on some playoff-bound team while Ron Francis holds a third first-round pick in this coming year’s draft. But I digress.Let’s turn those frowns upside down Canes fans. There are some good things to come out of 2015, and while the Jim Rutherford-led Penguins beginning to choke despite an embarrassment of riches is a pretty wonderful thing to watch, let’s focus on the goodness happening down on Edwards Mill in Raleigh.Noah FREAKIN' HanifinSo while everyone watched the Edmonton Oilers jump up and draft Connor Mc-Hockey-Savior (which basically proved that the NHL draft lottery isn’t rigged), Caniacs started arguing over whether Mitch Marner or Dylan Strome, because lawdy lawdy, Boston College prospect Noah Hanifin was going to go third and there was no way we’d get to have a prospective franchise defenseman fall all the way to number five. But lo and behold, the Coyotes took Strome, Marner became a Leaf, and when GMRF got up to the podium, there was #5 available for the taking. (Sidenote, does anyone know if that’s why Hanifin’s number is number five? Because he was the fifth pick? More to come.)

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Does Our Corsi Matter?

by Canealytics •  @Cane_alytics •  Dec 7, 2015  •  0 comments

As many of you know, I frequently tweet updates on the Canes’ possession stats, and all season long it’s led it some pretty other-worldly numbers. The Canes possess the puck VERY well, but they’re not winning the outrageous possession games either. Or, when they do win, they've actually been out-attempted (LA & MTL wins).So does it matter? My focus is fancy stats and I tend to feel like I’m trolling the community I love every time I mention that one of our amazing young d-men are +15 even strength Corsi when the team is down 1-3 in the game.Should I just start blogging articles of Noah Hanifin photoshopped with cute puppies and kittens instead of mentioning he didn’t give up a shot attempt against for more than half a game against Buffalo?  Should I just change my name to plus/minus-alytics and throw in the towel?  Does our spectacular Corsi matter? I think the answer depends on when you’re looking. Now? Nope. Tomorrow? Hopefully.Admit it. You'd happily read a Hanifin/puppy blog.

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Spoiler Alert: This Team Can’t Shoot, at Least #ForNow

by Derek Roessler •  @droessl •  Dec 3, 2015  •  1 comment

Hopefully all of you were sitting down when you saw that headline. I wouldn't want to have someone fainting on my conscience (yes, I have one). After 24 games in the books and only 20 points to show for them, the Carolina Hurricanes' lack of talent, particularly at forward, is as glaring as many thought/feared prior to the season.As of December 2, only Philadelphia has scored less goals, only Calgary has a lower SRS (a measure of goal differential and strength of schedule), and only the Oilers (of course) have less points in the standings. But hey, the Canes are tops in Corsi. That's good!

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Kazoo Night, or How Do These Things Happen?

by Tom Edwards •  @MrWorkrate •  Nov 23, 2015  •  7 comments

Losing streaks make you do odd things. Anyone here at the 328 World Headquarters will tell you that. Going into the Toronto game last Friday, our beloved Canes were 1-4-2 for the month of November and in the middle of a five-game homestand that had begun with two overtime losses in games where the Canes held a 2-0 lead and a 4-1 loss to a struggling Anaheim Ducks team that barely moved the needle on the Canes Give-A-Fuck-O-Meter.Enough was enough, and soon after the Anaheim game, the 328 crew dubbed the Toronto game an "Alternate Jersey Night". Yes, the Canes would be playing in their black jerseys - their "alternates", but our "alternate jerseys" were non-Canes jerseys. We had plenty for varying reasons, so the wardrobe for the game was already set. That part was planned; what would follow wasn't.

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